MH370 – The Engine Fire Theory
To follow up on previous postings about my sighting of a glowing orange plane on the night MH370 disappeared, hardly anything is known about what happened to that flight after it disappeared from radar – and it seems that even that data is under review. That is a good thing in my opinion, since the independent scientists who are looking into my sighting seem to be having issues fitting it with what they already believe happened.
Now, I’m not a scientist, but I know what I saw. And contrary to what some critics might be saying out there on the world wide web, I have not been changing “what I saw” to fit what the experts believe. On the contrary, I have refused to change my testimony, even though it doesn’t fit (yet). I have been clarifying it to make it more intelligible, though; first with the help of Cruisers Forum members, who asked question after question to tease out the details (and that was much appreciated, since there are things I wouldn’t have thought of mentioning otherwise), and now with the help of the scientists on Duncan Steel’s independent team. Various independent investigators have approached me, and worked hard to present theories which fit with my sightings. I hope to publish the work of those investigators who give me permission to do so, since each theory is deserving of thanks. The scientific analysis, of course, gets done over at Duncan’s place!
Stewart Stoddart, a flight test engineer kindly contacted me a while ago, with the intention of taking what I had seen, working off the assumption that it was MH370, and putting it into a viable flight plan. He has done so, and very patiently, given the apparent confusion over timings and positions of the craft. He has questioned me over and over about timings. He has teased out further thoughts and common sense applications of those thoughts, and despite great difficulty to make my timings fit with the published timings that are known from earlier in the flight, he has worked with them to create a flight plan that seems to work for both sets of timings, even though mine seemed to go against almost everything the investigators previously believed.
The first image he is sharing reflects the timing of when the aircraft passed me. I believe I have been able to narrow down the time of the sighting to the time at which I preformed an accidental gybe.
The image reflects the elevation angles I witnessed the craft at, and the Azimuths (position relative to boat) I witnessed. From that he has been able to calculate things such as altitude, and airspeed. I owe an enormous debt of gratitude to Stewart for his patient work, and look forward to seeing his full work published.
An interactive version of our track can be downloaded here: Kate’s GPS Track in .kml format, which automatically opens in Google Earth. It’s quite a big file, so don’t do this on your mobile phone’s data connection unless you have a mega package!
If you are interested in how I established the timings, I have posted the process of elimination over at Duncan’s Blog. Duncan Steel, I believe is listed amongst the top four scientists in this world (see his info page!) and it is an honour to have been in communication with him. He’s a fantastic teacher, who very patiently puts things into perspective for me in words I can understand. I can’t thank his dedicated team enough. They have all shown a professional interest. I’d particularly like to thank Dr Bobby Ulich and Henrik Rydberg; but everyone has shown admirable dedication to the cause.
This second image is an overview of what he currently believes the Northern part of MH370s course could have been. I can’t say too much about it, since I don’t understand it fully, but I do know that it is one possible scenario which so far fits with both my data and the technical data which has been made available to the public.
Finally, the last image shows a potential Southern route for MH370. This is based on the assumption that MH370 was flying at a low altitude and at a reduced speed; in other words, as I saw it. It demonstrates that it is possible for MH370 to have met those Inmarsat timings even if it were flying disabled.
I am very grateful to Stewart for sending me these graphics with permission to share, since I understand that he is not yet ready to publish his full report. Many investigators, including Stewart and his team, are dedicating a huge amount of time and expertise to trying to unravel this mystery, and so sharing what we can is what it’s all about.
I realise I haven’t expressed (here on my own blog anyway) my heartfelt sympathy for the families and friends of MH370. Rest assured, there truly are people who are working their fingers to the bone to find out what happened to your loved ones.
Edit: The second (but not final report) of this tested flight profile. A SIMULATED FLIGHT OF MH-370 #2